What’s going to happen in the (coming soon) Burn Budget? 

Jul 23, 2026 | Budget, Economy

An independent (financial adviser’s) view

There were months of rumours before the final (who knew?) Rachel Budget last year. The problem was that most were allowed to rumble on and do their worst – in particular that pension tax-free cash was to go, which many, despite our moderating advice, chose to heed. It’s said that Reeves and Starmer asked the Treasury for a list of stuff they could do around the edges, avoiding Taxes on Working People. So we had IHT on pensions, farms and businesses, employer NI and much other unpopular, complex-to-collect and not-worth-the-bother tiddling; and a still-more ridiculously intricate tax system. The Burn has promised to be bold and my bets are on CGT combined with income tax, a property/wealth tax and the top rate up from 45% to 50% – on the basis that no Hard Working People earn more than £125k – as the headliners. But based on my prediction track record to date, none of those will happen. So don’t panic.

Businessman in a suit pondering budget outcomes, with coins and market charts over a London skyline.

Budget Rumours and Possibilities

The Budget Rumour Machine is not the shambles it was last year. Before Rachel’s Swansong all sorts of stuff was leaked to see what sort of puddle it would create.

Banks are opening branches again!

There’s a branch of Santander in Oxford which has a cafe, ‘co-working spaces and bookable meeting rooms as well as standard banking facilities’. And this, it seems is going to be a thing, as Barclays, too, has decided to reopen branches which will also include trendy cafes (well, a Costa) and chill-out work areas.

Why do 70% not get advice when taking pension benefits?

In the age of the internet, you can DIY pretty much anything. It will tell you how to fix your electrics or plumbing. You can book a holiday,, service a car old enough not to require the attachment of a laptop – and, of course, invest and advise yourself financially.